MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Engraved portrait of Logan O'Hoppe
272 PA · week 25
this weekSELL
last weekHOLD

Logan O'Hoppe

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
flipped from HOLD on September 10, 2026
Sell stable xwOBA 0.268 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.64 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 1AVG .208R 4RBI 3SB 0

O'Hoppe is a sell — the bat is below league and trending the wrong way.

Stable skill below league and not unlucky. Sell.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %9.2%−3.9%vs his ~13.1% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.268 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.0 mph
87.0 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph −2.0 mphvs his norm —
185 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %36.2%
36.2%*
lg avg 40.0% −3.8%vs his norm —
185 / 50 BBE
Barrel %9.2%
norm9.2%*
lg avg 8.0% +1.2%vs his norm −3.9%
185 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.268
believable since Jun 15.268*
lg avg .315 −.047vs his norm —
272 / 160 PA
wOBA.259
.259*
lg avg .315 −.056vs his norm —
272 / 200 PA
Strikeout %24.6%
24.6%*
lg avg 22.0% +2.6%vs his norm —
272 / 60 PA
Walk %6.3%
6.3%*
lg avg 8.5% −2.2%vs his norm —
272 / 120 PA
BABIP.278
norm.278*
lg avg .295 −.017vs his norm −.007 BABIP is below his ~.285 normexpect it to rise.
185 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %14.8%
14.8%*
lg avg 11.0% +3.9%vs his norm —
272 / 50 PA
Chase %34.8%
34.8%*
lg avg 28.5% +6.3%vs his norm —
272 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 9.2%→11.3%signal1 HR — Barrel% 9.2% (signal) lifted to career ~13.1% → projected 11.3%.
BABIP 0.278→0.259 regressednoise.208 AVG — BABIP 0.278 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.254 (xBA 0.207) → 0.259.
on-base + lineup4 R — his run rate over ~37 projected PA.
slugging + lineup3 RBI — his RBI rate over ~37 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 39 G) over ~37 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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