
272 PA · week 25
this weekSELL
last weekHOLD
Logan O'Hoppe
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
flipped from HOLD on September 10, 2026
Sell stable xwOBA 0.268 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.64 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 1AVG .208R 4RBI 3SB 0
O'Hoppe is a sell — the bat is below league and trending the wrong way.
Stable skill below league and not unlucky. Sell.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %9.2%—−3.9% ▼vs his ~13.1% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.268 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.0 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−2.0 mphvs his norm —
185 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %36.2%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−3.8%vs his norm —
185 / 50 BBE
Barrel %9.2%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.2%vs his norm −3.9% ▼
185 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.268
lg avg .315 ▼−.047vs his norm —
272 / 160 PA
wOBA.259
lg avg .315 ▼−.056vs his norm —
272 / 200 PA
Strikeout %24.6%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+2.6%vs his norm —
272 / 60 PA
Walk %6.3%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−2.2%vs his norm —
272 / 120 PA
BABIP.278
lg avg .295 ▼−.017vs his norm −.007 ▼BABIP is below his ~.285 norm — expect it to rise.
185 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %14.8%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+3.9%vs his norm —
272 / 50 PA
Chase %34.8%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+6.3%vs his norm —
272 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 9.2%→11.3%signal1 HR — Barrel% 9.2% (signal) lifted to career ~13.1% → projected 11.3%.
BABIP 0.278→0.259 regressednoise.208 AVG — BABIP 0.278 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.254 (xBA 0.207) → 0.259.
on-base + lineup4 R — his run rate over ~37 projected PA.
slugging + lineup3 RBI — his RBI rate over ~37 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 39 G) over ~37 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.