233 PA · week 17
this weekSELL
last weekHOLD
Logan O'Hoppe
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
flipped from HOLD on July 18, 2026
Sell stable xwOBA 0.276 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.63 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 5AVG .214R 17RBI 14SB 0
O'Hoppe is a sell — his skill is below league with no luck excuse.
Stable skill below league and not unlucky. Sell.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %10.9%—−2.2% ▼vs his ~13.1% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.276 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.2 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.8 mphvs his norm —
156 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %38.5%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−1.5%vs his norm —
156 / 50 BBE
Barrel %10.9%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.9%vs his norm −2.2% ▼
156 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.276
lg avg .315 ▼−.039vs his norm —
233 / 160 PA
wOBA.263
lg avg .315 ▼−.052vs his norm —
233 / 200 PA
Strikeout %24.9%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+2.9%vs his norm —
233 / 60 PA
Walk %6.9%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−1.6%vs his norm —
233 / 120 PA
BABIP.272
lg avg .295 ▼−.023vs his norm −.013 ▼BABIP is below his ~.285 norm — expect it to rise.
156 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %14.4%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+3.4%vs his norm —
233 / 50 PA
Chase %35.0%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+6.5%vs his norm —
233 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 10.9%→12.2%signal5 HR — Barrel% 10.9% (signal) lifted to career ~13.1% → projected 12.2%.
BABIP 0.272→0.254 regressednoise.214 AVG — BABIP 0.272 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.250 (xBA 0.204) → 0.254.
on-base + lineup17 R — his run rate over ~165 projected PA.
slugging + lineup14 RBI — his RBI rate over ~165 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 39 G) over ~165 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.