week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL
Blas Castaño
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
new call as of September 10, 2026
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (5.68); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 6ERA 3.70WHIP 1.24W 0–0SV 0
Castaño is a hold — league average, nothing unstable pulling him.
ROS projects K 10 YTD → 6 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.68)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed47.1%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+7.1%vs his norm —
70 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed8.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.6%vs his norm —
70 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.361
lg avg .315 ▲+.046vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
98 / 200 TBF
xERA5.68
lg avg 4.10 ▲+1.58vs his norm —xERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
98 / 200 TBF
ERA3.75
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.35vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
24 / 200 IP
Strikeout %19.4%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−2.6%vs his norm —
98 / 70 TBF
Walk %7.1%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.9%vs his norm —Walk % is below the ~8.0% league average — expect it to rise.
98 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.333
lg avg .295 ▲+.038vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
70 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %8.9%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−2.1%vs his norm —
98 / 60 TBF
Chase %29.1%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+0.6%vs his norm —
98 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo94.6 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+0.6 mphvs his norm —
405 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 19.4%→20.3%signal6 K — K% 19.4% (signal) lifted to RP mean ~24.0% → projected 20.3% over ~6 remaining IP.
xERA 5.68noise3.70 ERA — xERA 5.68 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 11 IP.
BB% 7.1% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 7% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.298 gives a 1.36 skill WHIP, blended 0%…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0 SV — role: middle, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.