
Connor Norby
Norby is a hold — league-average skill, no edge either way
His expected wOBA is .310, roughly level with the league average of .315, and 383 plate appearances is past the point where that number becomes reliable. His actual wOBA is .323, so the surface line isn't being propped up by a stat that will collapse. The one number that looks inflated is his BABIP at .336, well above the .295 league average, but he has just 224 balls in play against the 800 needed for it to be trusted, so some batting-average regression is likely without changing the underlying skill read. Contact quality is soft: 87.4 mph average exit velocity and a 36.2% hard-hit rate, both below league. He strikes out 28.2% of the time, and that rate has been climbing, which caps his floor. A high walk rate keeps the bat playable but doesn't move the value. Hold. A 0 HR / 0 R / 0 RBI / 0 SB / .000 AVG line makes him a drop — deep-league dart only, streaming-only at this tier.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %7.6%—−3.6% ▼vs his ~11.2% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.310)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 28% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.336 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
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