140 PA · week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL
Tommy Troy
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
new call as of September 10, 2026
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.309); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 1AVG .210R 9RBI 1SB 0
Troy is a hold — league average, nothing unstable underneath
ROS projects HR 1 YTD → 1 ROS, AVG .318 YTD → .210 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.309)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo84.7 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−4.3 mphvs his norm —
94 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %29.8%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−10.2%vs his norm —
94 / 50 BBE
Barrel %9.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.6%vs his norm —
94 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.309
lg avg .315 ▼−.006vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
140 / 160 PA
wOBA.291
lg avg .315 ▼−.024vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
140 / 200 PA
Strikeout %23.6%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.6%vs his norm —
140 / 60 PA
Walk %9.3%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+0.8%vs his norm —
140 / 120 PA
BABIP.270
lg avg .295 ▼−.025vs his norm —BABIP is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
94 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %11.4%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.4%vs his norm —
140 / 50 PA
Chase %27.1%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−1.4%vs his norm —
140 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 9.6%→9.3%signal1 HR — Barrel% 9.6% (signal) tempered to league ~8.0% → projected 9.3%.
BABIP 0.270→0.239 regressednoise.210 AVG — BABIP 0.270 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.235 (xBA 0.232) → 0.239.
on-base + lineup9 R — his run rate over ~32 projected PA.
slugging + lineup1 RBI — his RBI rate over ~32 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 8 G) over ~32 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.