134 PA · week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL
Tommy Troy
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
ON THE 10-DAY IL
new call
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.317); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 3AVG .223R 37RBI 5SB 0
Tommy Troy is a hold — league average, no edge either way.
ROS projects HR 1 YTD → 3 ROS, AVG .318 YTD → .223 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.317)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo84.8 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−4.2 mphvs his norm —
90 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %31.1%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−8.9%vs his norm —
90 / 50 BBE
Barrel %10.0%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.0%vs his norm —
90 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.317
lg avg .315 ▲+.002vs his norm —xwOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
134 / 160 PA
wOBA.295
lg avg .315 ▼−.020vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
134 / 200 PA
Strikeout %23.1%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.1%vs his norm —
134 / 60 PA
Walk %9.7%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+1.2%vs his norm —
134 / 120 PA
BABIP.267
lg avg .295 ▼−.028vs his norm —BABIP is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
90 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %11.2%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.2%vs his norm —
134 / 50 PA
Chase %27.0%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−1.5%vs his norm —
134 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 10.0%→9.6%signal3 HR — Barrel% 10.0% (signal) tempered to league ~8.0% → projected 9.6%.
BABIP 0.267→0.245 regressednoise.223 AVG — BABIP 0.267 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.242 (xBA 0.238) → 0.245.
on-base + lineup37 R — his run rate over ~134 projected PA.
slugging + lineup5 RBI — his RBI rate over ~134 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 8 G) over ~134 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.