143 PA · week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL
Tommy Troy
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
new call as of October 26, 2026
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.304); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0
Troy is a hold — average on the surface, average underneath it.
ROS projects HR 1 YTD → 0 ROS, AVG .318 YTD → .000 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.304)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo84.9 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−4.1 mphvs his norm —
96 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %30.2%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−9.8%vs his norm —
96 / 50 BBE
Barrel %9.4%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.4%vs his norm —
96 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.304
lg avg .315 ▼−.011vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
143 / 160 PA
wOBA.285
lg avg .315 ▼−.030vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
143 / 200 PA
Strikeout %23.8%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.8%vs his norm —
143 / 60 PA
Walk %9.1%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+0.6%vs his norm —
143 / 120 PA
BABIP.264
lg avg .295 ▼−.031vs his norm —BABIP is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
96 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %11.7%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.7%vs his norm —
143 / 50 PA
Chase %27.7%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−0.8%vs his norm —
143 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 9.4%→9.1%signal0 HR — Barrel% 9.4% (signal) tempered to league ~8.0% → projected 9.1%.
BABIP 0.264→0.235 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.264 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.231 (xBA 0.229) → 0.235.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 8 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.