92 PA · week 27
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL
J.C. Escarra
data as of September 30, 2026·week 27
new call as of September 30, 2026
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.257); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0
Escarra is a hold — nothing here is pulling either way.
ROS projects HR 0 YTD → 0 ROS, AVG .186 YTD → .000 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %4.4%—−1.2% ▼vs his ~5.6% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.257)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.1 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.1 mphvs his norm —
68 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %33.8%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−6.2%vs his norm —
68 / 50 BBE
Barrel %4.4%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.6%vs his norm −1.2% ▼
68 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.257
lg avg .315 ▼−.058vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
92 / 160 PA
wOBA.228
lg avg .315 ▼−.087vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
92 / 200 PA
Strikeout %19.6%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−2.4%vs his norm —
92 / 60 PA
Walk %6.5%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−2.0%vs his norm —Walk % is below the ~8.5% league average — expect it to rise.
92 / 120 PA
BABIP.235
lg avg .295 ▼−.060vs his norm +.005 ▲BABIP is above his ~.230 norm — expect it to fall.
68 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %12.8%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.8%vs his norm —
92 / 50 PA
Chase %24.7%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−3.8%vs his norm —
92 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 4.4%→5.3%signal0 HR — Barrel% 4.4% (signal) lifted to career ~5.6% → projected 5.3%.
BABIP 0.235→0.256 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.235 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.257 (xBA 0.206) → 0.256.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 21 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.