week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL
Brandyn Garcia
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
new call as of October 26, 2026
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (2.11); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 0WHIP 1.24ERA 3.70W 0–0SV 0
Garcia is a hold — the strikeouts are real, the run prevention isn't proven yet
ROS projects K 11 YTD → 0 ROS, WHIP 0.83 YTD → 1.24 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.11)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed29.8%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−10.2%vs his norm —
114 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed5.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.7%vs his norm —
114 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.225
lg avg .315 ▼−.090vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
192 / 200 TBF
xERA2.11
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.99vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
192 / 200 TBF
ERA1.93
lg avg 4.10 ▼−2.17vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
51.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %31.3%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+9.3%vs his norm —
192 / 70 TBF
Walk %5.7%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.3%vs his norm —
192 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.218
lg avg .295 ▼−.077vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
114 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %11.8%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.8%vs his norm —
192 / 60 TBF
Chase %25.7%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−2.8%vs his norm —
192 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo97.2 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+3.2 mphvs his norm —
706 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 31.3%→29.8%signal0 K — K% 31.3% (signal) tempered to RP mean ~24.0% → projected 29.8% over ~0 remaining IP.
xERA 2.11noise3.70 ERA — xERA 2.11 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 12 IP.
BB% 5.7% + contactsignal1.24 WHIP — a 6% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.284 gives a 1.05 skill WHIP, blended 0%…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (setup)0 SV — role: setup, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.