week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL
Anthony Molina
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
new call as of October 26, 2026
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (3.70); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 0ERA 3.70WHIP 1.24W 0–0SV 0
Molina is a hold — league-average skill, early sample, nothing unstable
ROS projects K 0 YTD → 0 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %22.8%—+7.7% ▲vs his ~15.1% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.70)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed36.7%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−3.3%vs his norm —
98 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed7.1%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.9%vs his norm —
98 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.297
lg avg .315 ▼−.018vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
136 / 200 TBF
xERA3.70
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.40vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
136 / 200 TBF
ERA3.97
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.13vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
34 / 200 IP
Strikeout %22.8%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+0.8%vs his norm +7.7% ▲
136 / 70 TBF
Walk %5.1%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.9%vs his norm −1.6% ▼Walk % is below his ~6.7% norm — expect it to rise.
136 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.274
lg avg .295 ▼−.021vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
98 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %12.0%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.0%vs his norm —
136 / 60 TBF
Chase %32.6%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+4.1%vs his norm —
136 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo96.3 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+2.3 mphvs his norm —
541 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 22.8%→18.2%signal0 K — K% 22.8% (signal) tempered to career ~15.1% → projected 18.2% over ~0 remaining IP.
xERA 3.70noise3.70 ERA — xERA 3.70 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 2 IP.
BB% 5.1% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 5% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.292 gives a 1.19 skill WHIP, blended 0%…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0 SV — role: middle, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.