186 PA · week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
José Tena
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
Hold · steady skill near league average (0.313); strikeout rate 30% is stable and high, caps the floor — BABIP 0.330 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 3AVG .238R 21RBI 16SB 0
Tena is a hold — league average, stable, no edge either way.
ROS projects HR 3 YTD → 3 ROS, AVG .219 YTD → .238 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %8.8%—+2.0% ▲vs his ~6.8% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.313)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.330 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo91.9 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+2.9 mphvs his norm —
114 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %50.9%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+10.9%vs his norm —
114 / 50 BBE
Barrel %8.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.8%vs his norm +2.0% ▲
114 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.313
lg avg .315 ▼−.002vs his norm —
186 / 160 PA
wOBA.315
lg avg .315 .000vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
186 / 200 PA
Strikeout %30.1%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+8.1%vs his norm —
186 / 60 PA
Walk %7.5%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−1.0%vs his norm —
186 / 120 PA
BABIP.330
lg avg .295 ▲+.035vs his norm −.007 ▼BABIP is below his ~.337 norm — expect it to rise.
114 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %17.2%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+6.2%vs his norm —
186 / 50 PA
Chase %31.5%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+3.0%vs his norm —
186 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 8.8%→7.5%signal3 HR — Barrel% 8.8% (signal) tempered to career ~6.8% → projected 7.5%.
BABIP 0.330→0.340 regressednoise.238 AVG — BABIP 0.330 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.342 (xBA 0.251) → 0.340.
on-base + lineup21 R — his run rate over ~152 projected PA.
slugging + lineup16 RBI — his RBI rate over ~152 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 46 G) over ~152 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.