85 PA · week 27
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL
Braxton Fulford
data as of September 27, 2026·week 27
new call as of September 27, 2026
Hold · wait & see strikeout rate 40% is stable and high, caps the floor — skill near league average (0.209); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0
Fulford is a hold — league average with one loud warning sign.
ROS projects AVG .200 YTD → .000 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.209)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 40% is stable and high — caps the floor
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.6 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.4 mphvs his norm —Avg Exit Velo is below the ~89.0 mph league average — expect it to rise.
42 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %35.7%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−4.3%vs his norm —Hard-Hit % is below the ~40.0% league average — expect it to rise.
42 / 50 BBE
Barrel %7.1%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.9%vs his norm +1.8% ▲Barrel % is above his ~5.3% norm — expect it to fall.
42 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.209
lg avg .315 ▼−.106vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
85 / 160 PA
wOBA.242
lg avg .315 ▼−.073vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
85 / 200 PA
Strikeout %40.0%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+18.0%vs his norm —
85 / 60 PA
Walk %9.4%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+0.9%vs his norm —Walk % is above the ~8.5% league average — expect it to fall.
85 / 120 PA
BABIP.293
lg avg .295 ▼−.002vs his norm −.004 ▼BABIP is below his ~.297 norm — expect it to rise.
42 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %15.9%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+4.9%vs his norm —
85 / 50 PA
Chase %28.6%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+0.1%vs his norm —
85 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 7.1%→5.6%noise0 HR — Barrel% 7.1% (noise) tempered to career ~5.3% → projected 5.6%.
BABIP 0.293→0.233 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.293 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.230 (xBA 0.138) → 0.233.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (2 in 13 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.