week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL
Orlando Ribalta
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
new call as of October 26, 2026
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (3.68); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 0WHIP 1.24ERA 3.70W 0–0SV 0–0
Ribalta is a hold — league average, no luck pulling either way.
ROS projects K 12 YTD → 0 ROS, WHIP 0.89 YTD → 1.24 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %23.6%—+4.1% ▲vs his ~19.5% career norm
- Walk %10.1%—−2.3% ▼vs his ~12.4% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.68)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed32.2%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−7.8%vs his norm —
118 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed7.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.4%vs his norm —
118 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.296
lg avg .315 ▼−.019vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
178 / 200 TBF
xERA3.68
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.42vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
178 / 200 TBF
ERA3.77
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.33vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
43 / 200 IP
Strikeout %23.6%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.6%vs his norm +4.1% ▲
178 / 70 TBF
Walk %10.1%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.1%vs his norm −2.3% ▼
178 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.259
lg avg .295 ▼−.036vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
118 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %13.8%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+2.8%vs his norm —
178 / 60 TBF
Chase %36.7%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+8.2%vs his norm —
178 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo96.9 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+2.9 mphvs his norm —
750 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 23.6%→21.4%signal0 K — K% 23.6% (signal) tempered to career ~19.5% → projected 21.4% over ~0 remaining IP.
xERA 3.68noise3.70 ERA — xERA 3.68 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 16 IP.
BB% 10.1% + contactsignal1.24 WHIP — a 10% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.290 gives a 1.38 skill WHIP, blended 0…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0-0 SV — role: middle, in the save mix only situationally.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.