week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Mitch Farris
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (5.66); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 27WHIP 1.25ERA 3.77W 0–0SV 0
Farris is a hold — limited data, near-league skill.
ROS projects K 22 YTD → 27 ROS, WHIP 1.52 YTD → 1.25 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %23.4%—+1.5% ▲vs his ~21.9% career norm
- Walk %10.5%—+0.0% ▲vs his ~10.5% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.66)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed48.1%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+8.1%vs his norm —
112 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed8.9%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.9%vs his norm —
112 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.362
lg avg .315 ▲+.047vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
171 / 200 TBF
xERA5.66
lg avg 4.10 ▲+1.56vs his norm —xERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
171 / 200 TBF
ERA3.79
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.31vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
40.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %23.4%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.4%vs his norm +1.5% ▲
171 / 70 TBF
Walk %10.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.5%vs his norm +0.0% ▲
171 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.327
lg avg .295 ▲+.032vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
112 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %12.2%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.2%vs his norm —
171 / 60 TBF
Chase %29.3%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+0.8%vs his norm —
171 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo91.8 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▼−2.2 mphvs his norm —
675 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 23.4%→22.6%signal27 K — K% 23.4% (signal) tempered to career ~21.9% → projected 22.6% over ~30 remaining…
xERA 5.66noise3.77 ERA — xERA 5.66 (noise) blended 3% skill / 97% league 3.70 at 24 IP.
BB% 10.5% + contactsignal1.25 WHIP — a 10% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.299 gives a 1.44 skill WHIP, blended 3…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0 SV — role: middle, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.77 ERA, 1.25 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.