Dylan Lee
Dylan Lee is a buy — 2.47 expected ERA, no luck involved.
His expected ERA is 2.47, a full 1.63 runs better than the league average of 4.10, and he has faced enough batters for that number to be reliable. He strikes out 31.4% of hitters, well above league average, and walks only 6.3% — the command and stuff are both there. He gets swings on 35.6% of pitches outside the zone, which is how the strikeout rate holds up. The contact he allows is weak: a .245 expected wOBA against, and his hard-hit rate allowed of 32.2% is well below the 40% league mark. The expected ERA has stepped down as the sample has grown, so this is not a number being held down by balls finding gloves. He earns his outs. Buy. With a 2.47 ERA and 1.09 WHIP ROS, this arm is a standard-league asset — acquire before the ratios sell the case for you.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %31.4%—+1.7% ▲vs his ~29.7% career norm
- Walk %6.3%—+0.6% ▲vs his ~5.7% career norm
Drivers
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 2.47, 1.63 below league — production is earned
5×5 ROS Outlook
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