week 10
this weekSELL-HIGH
last weekHOLD
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Dylan Lee
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
Lee is a sell-high — his ERA is built on an unsustainably low BABIP.
Surface ERA flattered by an unsustainably low BABIP-against; xERA says regression. Sell high.
Sell High
med0.70
Drivers
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.210 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 1.68 is 0.38 above the ERA — regression coming
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed31.7%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−8.3%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL63 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed4.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.2%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL63 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.206
lg avg .315 ▼−.109too early to trust
NOISE100 / 200 TBF
xERA1.68
lg avg 4.10 ▼−2.42too early to trust
NOISE100 / 200 TBF
ERA1.30
lg avg 4.10 ▼−2.80too early to trust
NOISE27.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %34.0%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+12.0%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL100 / 70 TBF
Walk %3.0%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−5.0%too early to trust
NOISE100 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.210
lg avg .295 ▼−.085too early to trust
NOISE63 / 800 BIP