week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Eduard Bazardo
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (3.93); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 20WHIP 1.24ERA 3.71W 1–4SV 0
Bazardo is a hold — league average skill, no signal to act.
ROS projects K 23 YTD → 20 ROS, WHIP 1.38 YTD → 1.24 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %23.5%—−1.3% ▼vs his ~24.8% career norm
- Walk %7.6%—−0.7% ▼vs his ~8.3% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.93)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed40.5%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+0.5%vs his norm —
116 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed7.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.2%vs his norm —
116 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.308
lg avg .315 ▼−.007vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
170 / 200 TBF
xERA3.93
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.17vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
170 / 200 TBF
ERA2.40
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.70vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
41.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %23.5%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.5%vs his norm −1.3% ▼
170 / 70 TBF
Walk %7.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.4%vs his norm −0.7% ▼
170 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.313
lg avg .295 ▲+.018vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
116 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %9.8%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−1.2%vs his norm —
170 / 60 TBF
Chase %28.6%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+0.1%vs his norm —
170 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo95.5 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+1.5 mphvs his norm —
665 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 23.5%→24.2%signal20 K — K% 23.5% (signal) lifted to career ~24.8% → projected 24.2% over ~21 remaining IP.
xERA 3.93noise3.71 ERA — xERA 3.93 (noise) blended 5% skill / 95% league 3.70 at 25 IP.
BB% 7.6% + contactsignal1.24 WHIP — a 8% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.298 gives a 1.31 skill WHIP, blended 5%…
run support + role1-4 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (setup)0 SV — role: setup, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.71 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.