190 PA · week 27
this weekSELL
last weekNO CALL
Petey Halpin
data as of September 27, 2026·week 27
new call as of September 27, 2026
Sell stable xwOBA 0.292 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0
Halpin is a sell — the bat speed isn't there and neither is the production.
Stable skill below league and not unlucky. Sell.
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.292 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo85.8 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−3.2 mphvs his norm —
145 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %26.2%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−13.8%vs his norm —
145 / 50 BBE
Barrel %5.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.5%vs his norm —
145 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.292
lg avg .315 ▼−.023vs his norm —
190 / 160 PA
wOBA.263
lg avg .315 ▼−.052vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
190 / 200 PA
Strikeout %18.4%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−3.6%vs his norm —
190 / 60 PA
Walk %4.2%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−4.3%vs his norm —
190 / 120 PA
BABIP.257
lg avg .295 ▼−.038vs his norm —BABIP is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
145 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %15.0%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+4.0%vs his norm —
190 / 50 PA
Chase %38.9%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+10.4%vs his norm —
190 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 5.5%→6.0%signal0 HR — Barrel% 5.5% (signal) lifted to league ~8.0% → projected 6.0%.
BABIP 0.257→0.322 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.257 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.337 (xBA 0.250) → 0.322.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (2 in 18 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.