185 PA · week 10
this weekBUY
last weekBUY
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Gavin Sheets
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
Sheets is a buy — contact quality backs up the line.
His expected wOBA is .337, .022 above league average, and with 185 plate appearances that number is reliable. His actual wOBA tracks close to it, so his production is earned, not lucky. The skill driver is his contact quality: hard-hit rate has been stepping up through the sample and now sits at 45.5%, well above the league average of 40.0%. He barrels the ball at an above-average 9.1% rate, and his average exit velocity is 89.5 mph, also above league. The strikeout rate is near league average and his walk rate is above, so his approach supports the profile. This is a solid, above-average bat with no luck story to unwind. Buy.
Buy
med0.64
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.337, +0.022 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.5 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.5 mphtrustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL121 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %45.5%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+5.5%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL121 / 50 BBE
Barrel %9.1%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.1%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL121 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.337
lg avg .315 ▲+.022trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL185 / 160 PA
wOBA.356
lg avg .315 ▲+.041too early to trust
NOISE185 / 200 PA
Strikeout %22.7%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+0.7%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL185 / 60 PA
Walk %10.8%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+2.3%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL185 / 120 PA
BABIP.277
lg avg .295 ▼−.018too early to trust
NOISE121 / 800 BIP