Rest of Season Projection
GavinCategoryTy
9HR9
39R ←30
41RBI →45
5SB ←2
.220AVG →.244
Current Season
GavinCategoryTy
9HR ←6
22R ←12
23RBI ←18
3SB ←1
.245AVG →.286
What Each Player's System Trusts
Gavin Sheets
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.338, +0.023 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Ty France
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.324 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.335 is 0.030 below the surface — regression coming
Gavin Sheets: 9 HR / 39 R. Ty France: 9 HR / 30 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).