week 25
this weekBUY
last weekBUY
Landen Roupp
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
Buy stable xERA 3.70, 0.40 below league, production is earned; add now.med 0.72 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 15ERA 3.70WHIP 1.39W 1–1SV 0
Roupp is a buy — his earned run prevention is real.
Stable, above-average skill with no luck propping it up. Buy.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %21.8%—−1.1% ▼vs his ~22.9% career norm
- Walk %11.3%—+1.1% ▲vs his ~10.2% career norm
Drivers
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 3.70, 0.40 below league — production is earned
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed29.2%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−10.8%vs his norm —
421 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed4.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.2%vs his norm —
421 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.298
lg avg .315 ▼−.017vs his norm —
637 / 200 TBF
xERA3.70
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.40vs his norm —
637 / 200 TBF
ERA4.00
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.10vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
150.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %21.8%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−0.2%vs his norm −1.1% ▼
637 / 70 TBF
Walk %11.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+3.3%vs his norm +1.1% ▲
637 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.270
lg avg .295 ▼−.025vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
421 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %10.8%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−0.2%vs his norm —
637 / 60 TBF
Chase %30.2%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+1.7%vs his norm —
637 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo92.9 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▼−1.1 mphvs his norm —
2624 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 21.8%→22.1%signal15 K — K% 21.8% (signal) held to career ~22.9% → projected 22.1% over ~13 remaining IP.
xERA 3.70signal3.70 ERA — regresses up toward xERA 3.70 (signal): elite skill, but overperforming even…
BB% 11.3% + contactsignal1.39 WHIP — a 11% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.282 gives a 1.43 skill WHIP, blended 6…
run support + role1-1 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (starter)0 SV — role: starter, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep15 K ROS, 3.70 ERA
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.