315 PA · week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Isaac Collins
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
Hold · steady skill near league average (0.315); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 3AVG .222R 20RBI 15SB 3
Collins is a hold — league average in the middle of a stable sample.
ROS projects HR 3 YTD → 3 ROS, AVG .216 YTD → .222 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %6.0%—+1.1% ▲vs his ~4.9% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.315)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo88.4 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−0.6 mphvs his norm —
199 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %40.7%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+0.7%vs his norm —
199 / 50 BBE
Barrel %6.0%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.0%vs his norm +1.1% ▲
199 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.315
lg avg .315 .000vs his norm —
315 / 160 PA
wOBA.320
lg avg .315 ▲+.005vs his norm —
315 / 200 PA
Strikeout %22.9%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+0.9%vs his norm —
315 / 60 PA
Walk %12.1%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+3.6%vs his norm —
315 / 120 PA
BABIP.307
lg avg .295 ▲+.012vs his norm −.018 ▼BABIP is below his ~.325 norm — expect it to rise.
199 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %8.5%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−2.5%vs his norm —
315 / 50 PA
Chase %20.2%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−8.3%vs his norm —
315 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 6.0%→5.4%signal3 HR — Barrel% 6.0% (signal) tempered to career ~4.9% → projected 5.4%.
BABIP 0.307→0.312 regressednoise.222 AVG — BABIP 0.307 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.313 (xBA 0.240) → 0.312.
on-base + lineup20 R — his run rate over ~179 projected PA.
slugging + lineup15 RBI — his RBI rate over ~179 projected PA.
run rate / role3 SB — his steal rate (3 in 52 G) over ~179 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.