627 PA · week 31
this weekBUY-LOW
last weekSELL
Salvador Perez
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
flipped from SELL on October 26, 2026
Buy Low contact quality already past its threshold and intact, the bat is fine — BABIP 0.251 suppressed and unstable, dragging results below the bat; buy the player, not the number.med 0.66 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0
Perez is a buy-low — the bat is real, the BABIP is not.
Cold results, but stable contact quality and a depressed BABIP say the slump is noise. Buy low.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %10.7%—−1.4% ▼vs his ~12.1% career norm
Drivers
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.251 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.2 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.2 mphvs his norm —
468 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %42.7%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+2.7%vs his norm —
468 / 50 BBE
Barrel %10.7%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.7%vs his norm −1.4% ▼
468 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.316
lg avg .315 ▲+.001vs his norm —
627 / 160 PA
wOBA.285
lg avg .315 ▼−.030vs his norm —
627 / 200 PA
Strikeout %19.0%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−3.0%vs his norm —
627 / 60 PA
Walk %4.0%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−4.5%vs his norm —
627 / 120 PA
BABIP.251
lg avg .295 ▼−.044vs his norm −.031 ▼BABIP is below his ~.282 norm — expect it to rise.
468 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %14.1%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+3.0%vs his norm —
627 / 50 PA
Chase %44.6%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+16.1%vs his norm —
627 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 10.7%→11.1%signal0 HR — Barrel% 10.7% (signal) lifted to career ~12.1% → projected 11.1%.
BABIP 0.251→0.261 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.251 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.274 (xBA 0.250) → 0.261.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 57 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.