374 PA · week 17
this weekSELL
last weekSELL
VS His Norm
- Barrel %9.4%—−2.7% ▼vs his ~12.1% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.286 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.3 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.3 mphvs his norm —
278 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %43.2%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+3.2%vs his norm —
278 / 50 BBE
Barrel %9.4%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.4%vs his norm −2.7% ▼
278 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.286
lg avg .315 ▼−.029vs his norm —
374 / 160 PA
wOBA.258
lg avg .315 ▼−.057vs his norm —
374 / 200 PA
Strikeout %20.3%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−1.7%vs his norm —
374 / 60 PA
Walk %3.5%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−5.0%vs his norm —
374 / 120 PA
BABIP.232
lg avg .295 ▼−.063vs his norm −.050 ▼BABIP is below his ~.282 norm — expect it to rise.
278 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %14.6%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+3.5%vs his norm —
374 / 50 PA
Chase %45.5%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+17.0%vs his norm —
374 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 9.4%→10.5%signal5 HR — Barrel% 9.4% (signal) lifted to career ~12.1% → projected 10.5%.
BABIP 0.232→0.241 regressednoise.212 AVG — BABIP 0.232 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.246 (xBA 0.228) → 0.241.
on-base + lineup17 R — his run rate over ~193 projected PA.
slugging + lineup20 RBI — his RBI rate over ~193 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 57 G) over ~193 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.