
570 PA · week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekSELL
Salvador Perez
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
flipped from SELL on September 10, 2026
Hold · steady skill near league average (0.310); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 1AVG .220R 4RBI 5SB 0
Perez is a hold — league-average skill, and the trend is drifting down.
ROS projects HR 9 YTD → 1 ROS, AVG .206 YTD → .220 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %10.4%—−1.7% ▼vs his ~12.1% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.310)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo88.9 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−0.1 mphvs his norm —
423 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %42.3%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+2.3%vs his norm —
423 / 50 BBE
Barrel %10.4%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.4%vs his norm −1.7% ▼
423 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.310
lg avg .315 ▼−.005vs his norm —
570 / 160 PA
wOBA.286
lg avg .315 ▼−.029vs his norm —
570 / 200 PA
Strikeout %19.3%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−2.7%vs his norm —
570 / 60 PA
Walk %3.9%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−4.6%vs his norm —
570 / 120 PA
BABIP.252
lg avg .295 ▼−.043vs his norm −.030 ▼BABIP is below his ~.282 norm — expect it to rise.
423 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %14.0%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+3.0%vs his norm —
570 / 50 PA
Chase %44.9%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+16.4%vs his norm —
570 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 10.4%→10.9%signal1 HR — Barrel% 10.4% (signal) lifted to career ~12.1% → projected 10.9%.
BABIP 0.252→0.259 regressednoise.220 AVG — BABIP 0.252 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.268 (xBA 0.245) → 0.259.
on-base + lineup4 R — his run rate over ~43 projected PA.
slugging + lineup5 RBI — his RBI rate over ~43 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 57 G) over ~43 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.