week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Abner Uribe
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (2.89); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 25ERA 3.69WHIP 1.24W 2–4SV 3–6
Uribe is a hold — skills near average, sample still small.
ROS projects K 23 YTD → 25 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %23.0%—−5.6% ▼vs his ~28.6% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.89)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed32.4%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−7.6%vs his norm —
102 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed2.0%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−6.0%vs his norm —
102 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.266
lg avg .315 ▼−.049vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
152 / 200 TBF
xERA2.89
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.21vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
152 / 200 TBF
ERA2.56
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.54vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
38.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %23.0%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.0%vs his norm −5.6% ▼
152 / 70 TBF
Walk %9.9%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.9%vs his norm −1.8% ▼Walk % is below his ~11.7% norm — expect it to rise.
152 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.227
lg avg .295 ▼−.068vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
102 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %11.7%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.7%vs his norm —
152 / 60 TBF
Chase %29.7%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+1.2%vs his norm —
152 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo98.6 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+4.6 mphvs his norm —
590 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 23.0%→26.2%signal25 K — K% 23.0% (signal) lifted to career ~28.6% → projected 26.2% over ~20 remaining IP.
xERA 2.89noise3.69 ERA — xERA 2.89 (noise) blended 1% skill / 99% league 3.70 at 21 IP.
BB% 9.9% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 10% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.286 gives a 1.37 skill WHIP, blended 1…
run support + role2-4 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (closer)3-6 SV — role: closer.
rosterdeep10 SV, 3.69 ERA
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.