Rest of Season Projection
BobbyCategoryJorge
20HR ←6
45R →66
39RBI ←33
26SB ←21
.310AVG ←.273
Current Season
BobbyCategoryJorge
9HR ←4
30R ←22
26RBI ←11
17SB ←7
.287AVG →.316
What Each Player's System Trusts
Bobby Witt Jr.
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.396, +0.081 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Jorge Mateo
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.361)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Bobby Witt Jr. projects for 20 HR / 26 SB against Jorge Mateo's 6 HR / 21 SB. The power gap separates a buy from a hold.