MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 28, 2026
Carlos Correa
HOU · SS
Change to
Portrait of Jorge Mateo
Jorge Mateo
ATL · SS
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Carlos Correa.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, RBI, and average. Jorge Mateo’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Carlos Correa wins 3 categories (HR, RBI, AVG); Jorge Mateo wins 2 (R, SB).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Carlos Correa
89.2
Jorge Mateo
90.3
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Carlos Correa
41.2%
Jorge Mateo
46.6%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Carlos Correa
10.3%
Jorge Mateo
10.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Carlos Correa
32.0%
Jorge Mateo
41.8%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Carlos Correa
10.3%
Jorge Mateo
16.8%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Carlos Correa
.364
Jorge Mateo
.322
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Carlos Correa
.200.350
lg AVG .295
now .279
.277
Jorge Mateo
.200.350
lg AVG .295
now .316
.232

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Carlos Correa
55.20
now 3
3
Jorge Mateo
55.20
now 4
2
Runshigher is better
Carlos Correa
2033.20
now 22
23
Jorge Mateo
2033.20
now 22
30
RBIhigher is better
Carlos Correa
2020.20
now 16
17
Jorge Mateo
2020.20
now 11
15
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Carlos Correa
.00013.60
now 1
1
Jorge Mateo
.00013.60
now 7
10
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCarlos Correa — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeJorge Mateo — hold.conf 0.50
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