Rest of Season Projection
CarlosCategoryJorge
8HR ←5
44R →59
32RBI ←29
2SB →19
.285AVG ←.269
Current Season
CarlosCategoryJorge
3HR →4
22R22
16RBI ←11
1SB →7
.279AVG →.316
What Each Player's System Trusts
Carlos Correa
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.364)
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.330 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Jorge Mateo
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.356)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 28% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.390 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Carlos Correa: 8 HR / 45 R. Jorge Mateo: 5 HR / 59 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).