Rest of Season Projection
ColsonCategoryCorey
16HR ←15
42R ←40
54RBI ←37
2SB2
.194AVG →.214
Current Season
ColsonCategoryCorey
15HR ←7
28R ←22
36RBI ←20
1SB1
.229AVG ←.179
What Each Player's System Trusts
Colson Montgomery
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.326)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Corey Seager
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.208 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Colson Montgomery: 16 HR / 42 R. Corey Seager: 15 HR / 40 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).