Rest of Season Projection
ColtCategoryMatt
7HR →13
38R →42
13RBI →32
4SB ←0
.278AVG ←.228
Current Season
ColtCategoryMatt
0HR →2
21R →27
7RBI →21
2SB ←0
.273AVG ←.234
What Each Player's System Trusts
Colt Keith
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.306)
Matt Chapman
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.269 below league with no luck excuse
Colt Keith: 7 HR / 38 R. Matt Chapman: 13 HR / 42 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).