MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Colt Keith
Colt Keith
DET · 3B
Change to
Portrait of Matt Chapman
Matt Chapman
SF · 3B
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Matt Chapman.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, runs, and RBI.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Matt Chapman wins 3 categories (HR, R, RBI); Colt Keith wins 2 (SB, AVG).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Colt Keith
89.0
Matt Chapman
88.2
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Colt Keith
42.3%
Matt Chapman
35.8%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Colt Keith
8.0%
Matt Chapman
6.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Colt Keith
24.0%
Matt Chapman
26.4%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Colt Keith
9.4%
Matt Chapman
10.3%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Colt Keith
.323
Matt Chapman
.286
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Colt Keith
.200.290
lg AVG .295
now .273
.264
Matt Chapman
.200.290
lg AVG .295
now .234
.224

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Colt Keith
57
now 0
3
Matt Chapman
57
now 2
5
Runshigher is better
Colt Keith
2030.20
now 21
20
Matt Chapman
2030.20
now 27
21
RBIhigher is better
Colt Keith
2026.60
now 7
7
Matt Chapman
2026.60
now 21
16
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Colt Keith
.0003.20
now 2
2
Matt Chapman
.0003.20
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans buyColt Keith — hold.conf 0.60
SellMatt Chapman — sell.conf 0.61
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