Rest of Season Projection
ConnellyCategoryJacob
105K →163
4.44ERA →2.19
1.30WHIP →0.98
6–12W6–13
0SV0
Current Season
ConnellyCategoryJacob
57K →108
2.95ERA →1.65
1.16WHIP →0.79
5W →6
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Connelly Early
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.253 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.62 is 1.36 above the ERA — regression coming
Jacob Misiorowski
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.243 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.19 is 0.54 above the ERA — regression coming
Connelly Early: 105 K / 4.44 ERA. Jacob Misiorowski: 163 K / 2.19 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).