MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 25, 2026
Portrait of Connor Prielipp
Connor Prielipp
MIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Ryne Nelson
Ryne Nelson
AZ · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Connor Prielipp.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA. Ryne Nelson’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Connor Prielipp wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Ryne Nelson wins 1 (WHIP); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Connor Prielipp
95.3
Ryne Nelson
96.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Connor Prielipp
9.8%
Ryne Nelson
11.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Connor Prielipp
22.3%
Ryne Nelson
17.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Connor Prielipp
31.2%
Ryne Nelson
34.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Connor Prielipp
40.0%
Ryne Nelson
43.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Connor Prielipp
9.7%
Ryne Nelson
10.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Connor Prielipp
.323
Ryne Nelson
.349
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Connor Prielipp
3.885.49
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.13
4.24
Ryne Nelson
3.885.49
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.82
4.77
WHIPlower is better
Connor Prielipp
1.121.44
now 1.35
1.37
Ryne Nelson
1.121.44
now 1.19
1.28

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Connor Prielipp
4088.20
now 35
73
Ryne Nelson
4088.20
now 52
67
Winshigher is better
Connor Prielipp
.2003.80
now 1
13
Ryne Nelson
.2003.80
now 2
23

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellConnor Prielipp — hold.conf 0.60
SellRyne Nelson — sell.conf 0.86
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