MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 30, 2026
Portrait of Connor Prielipp
Connor Prielipp
MIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Steven Matz
Steven Matz
TB · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Connor Prielipp.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Steven Matz’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Connor Prielipp wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Steven Matz wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Connor Prielipp
95.3
Steven Matz
93.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Connor Prielipp
10.8%
Steven Matz
10.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Connor Prielipp
23.8%
Steven Matz
17.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Connor Prielipp
32.0%
Steven Matz
27.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Connor Prielipp
39.1%
Steven Matz
36.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Connor Prielipp
8.9%
Steven Matz
13.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Connor Prielipp
.313
Steven Matz
.366
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Connor Prielipp
3.575.63
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.13
4.03
Steven Matz
3.575.63
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.67
5.17
WHIPlower is better
Connor Prielipp
1.171.44
now 1.35
1.34
Steven Matz
1.171.44
now 1.24
1.37

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Connor Prielipp
4079.80
now 35
67
Steven Matz
4079.80
now 35
59
Winshigher is better
Connor Prielipp
.00012.20
now 1
13
Steven Matz
.00012.20
now 4
49

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowConnor Prielipp — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.88
SellSteven Matz — sell.conf 0.90
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