Rest of Season Projection
ConnorCategoryJake
31K →33
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
1–3W1–3
0SV0
Current Season
ConnorCategoryJake
15K →20
3.12ERA ←5.00
1.38WHIP →1.33
1W1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Connor Seabold
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.11 sits 0.99 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.339 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Jake Bird
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.81 sits 0.29 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.347 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Connor Seabold: 31 K / 3.70 ERA. Jake Bird: 33 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).