MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 30, 2026
Portrait of Curtis Mead
Curtis Mead
WSH · 3B
Change to
Portrait of Nolan Arenado
Nolan Arenado
AZ · 3B
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Curtis Mead.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, runs, RBI, and steals. Nolan Arenado’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Curtis Mead wins 4 categories (HR, R, RBI, SB); Nolan Arenado wins 0 (none); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Curtis Mead
87.9
Nolan Arenado
84.9
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Curtis Mead
42.1%
Nolan Arenado
30.4%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Curtis Mead
11.1%
Nolan Arenado
6.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Curtis Mead
25.9%
Nolan Arenado
32.2%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Curtis Mead
7.0%
Nolan Arenado
10.7%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Curtis Mead
.358
Nolan Arenado
.300
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Curtis Mead
.200.290
lg AVG .295
now .250
.219
Nolan Arenado
.200.290
lg AVG .295
now .270
.218

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Curtis Mead
59.60
now 8
5
Nolan Arenado
59.60
now 8
4
Runshigher is better
Curtis Mead
2240
now 26
36
Nolan Arenado
2240
now 28
33
RBIhigher is better
Curtis Mead
2240
now 26
36
Nolan Arenado
2240
now 28
33
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Curtis Mead
.0005.20
now 3
4
Nolan Arenado
.0005.20
now 1
1
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyCurtis Mead — buy.conf 0.69
SellNolan Arenado — sell.conf 0.58
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