Rest of Season Projection
DavidCategoryMatt
90K ←67
4.50ERA →4.09
1.43WHIP →1.30
3–6W ←2–4
0SV0
Current Season
DavidCategoryMatt
56K ←22
5.18ERA ←8.49
1.59WHIP ←1.71
3W ←1
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
David Peterson
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.71 +0.61 vs league with no luck excuse
Matt Waldron
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.78 sits 0.32 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.384 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
David Peterson: 92 K / 4.49 ERA. Matt Waldron: 68 K / 4.09 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).