MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 20, 2026
Portrait of Devin Williams
Devin Williams
NYM · P
Change to
Portrait of Jhoan Duran
Jhoan Duran
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Devin Williams.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and wins. Jhoan Duran’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Devin Williams wins 2 categories (K, W); Jhoan Duran wins 1 (SV); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Devin Williams
93.9
Jhoan Duran
100.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Devin Williams
17.6%
Jhoan Duran
20.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Devin Williams
29.6%
Jhoan Duran
39.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Devin Williams
38.3%
Jhoan Duran
35.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Devin Williams
30.7%
Jhoan Duran
46.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Devin Williams
5.7%
Jhoan Duran
4.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Devin Williams
.291
Jhoan Duran
.229
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Devin Williams
26.95
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.40
3.70
Jhoan Duran
26.95
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.53
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Devin Williams
.9001.79
now 1.55
1.24
Jhoan Duran
.9001.79
now 0.96
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Devin Williams
4040.60
now 31
35
Jhoan Duran
4040.60
now 26
25
Winshigher is better
Devin Williams
.0005.20
now 3
24
Jhoan Duran
.0005.20
now 1
12
Saveshigher is better
Devin Williams
.20021.80
now 8
510
Jhoan Duran
.20021.80
now 12
917
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowDevin Williams — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Hold · wait & seeJhoan Duran — hold.conf 0.50
Tweet