MLB Daily DeltaWeek 12 · June 13, 2026
Drake Baldwin
ATL·C
Buy high·0.81
Change to
Francisco Alvarez
NYM·C
Hold med·0.50
Change to

Rest of Season Projection

DrakeCategoryFrancisco
14HR 10
57R 24
56RBI 20
1SB 0
.283AVG .243

Current Season

DrakeCategoryFrancisco
13HR 4
39R 12
38RBI 10
1SB 0
.303AVG .243

What Each Player's System Trusts

Drake Baldwin
  • xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.418, +0.103 vs league — production is earned
  • hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
  • babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Francisco Alvarez
  • xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.334)

Drake Baldwin: 14 HR / 58 R. Francisco Alvarez: 11 HR / 25 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.

Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

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