MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 29, 2026
Portrait of Dylan Dodd
Dylan Dodd
ATL · P
Change to
Portrait of Justin Sterner
Justin Sterner
ATH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Justin Sterner.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and wins. Dylan Dodd’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Justin Sterner wins 2 categories (K, W); Dylan Dodd wins 1 (SV); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Dylan Dodd
94.2
Justin Sterner
93.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Dylan Dodd
14.7%
Justin Sterner
15.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Dylan Dodd
28.8%
Justin Sterner
21.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Dylan Dodd
31.6%
Justin Sterner
33.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Dylan Dodd
38.7%
Justin Sterner
45.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Dylan Dodd
6.7%
Justin Sterner
9.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Dylan Dodd
.254
Justin Sterner
.292
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Dylan Dodd
24.50
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.69
3.70
Justin Sterner
24.50
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.54
3.69
WHIPlower is better
Dylan Dodd
.9001.44
now 0.75
1.24
Justin Sterner
.9001.44
now 1.11
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Dylan Dodd
4031.60
now 12
16
Justin Sterner
4031.60
now 26
19
Winshigher is better
Dylan Dodd
.0002.80
now 0
00
Justin Sterner
.0002.80
now 2
12
Saveshigher is better
Dylan Dodd
.0004.40
now 1
13
Justin Sterner
.0004.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighDylan Dodd — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.82
Hold · wait & seeJustin Sterner — hold.conf 0.50
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