Rest of Season Projection
EliCategoryOwen
8HR →9
32R32
36RBI →57
3SB →6
.251AVG ←.186
Current Season
EliCategoryOwen
2HR →5
10R →17
11RBI →30
1SB →3
.217AVG →.234
What Each Player's System Trusts
Eli White
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.288)
Owen Caissie
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.282 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 41% is stable and high — caps the floor
Eli White: 8 HR / 32 R. Owen Caissie: 9 HR / 32 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).