MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 4, 2026
Elias Díaz
TEX · C
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Stephenson
Tyler Stephenson
CIN · C
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Elias Díaz wins 2 (R, RBI); Tyler Stephenson wins 2 (HR, AVG); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Elias Díaz
86.2
Tyler Stephenson
91.1
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Elias Díaz
34.5%
Tyler Stephenson
47.6%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Elias Díaz
8.6%
Tyler Stephenson
10.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Elias Díaz
42.2%
Tyler Stephenson
20.9%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Elias Díaz
16.2%
Tyler Stephenson
11.5%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Elias Díaz
.307
Tyler Stephenson
.335
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Elias Díaz
.200.250
lg AVG .295
now .227
.217
Tyler Stephenson
.200.250
lg AVG .295
now .193
.231

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Elias Díaz
57.60
now 2
3
Tyler Stephenson
57.60
now 4
6
Runshigher is better
Elias Díaz
2025.40
now 3
19
Tyler Stephenson
2025.40
now 11
14
RBIhigher is better
Elias Díaz
2042.80
now 5
32
Tyler Stephenson
2042.80
now 17
21
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Elias Díaz
.0001.20
now 0
0
Tyler Stephenson
.0001.20
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeElias Díaz — hold.conf 0.50
BuyTyler Stephenson — buy.conf 0.64
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