Rest of Season Projection
EllyCategoryJavier
12HR ←4
52R ←29
48RBI ←18
13SB ←3
.254AVG →.263
Current Season
EllyCategoryJavier
12HR ←2
40R ←10
37RBI ←6
10SB ←1
.280AVG ←.256
What Each Player's System Trusts
Elly De La Cruz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.362, +0.047 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.366 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Javier Báez
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.294)
Elly De La Cruz: 12 HR / 53 R. Javier Báez: 5 HR / 30 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).