Rest of Season Projection
EllyCategoryMookie
12HR ←8
52R ←34
48RBI ←39
13SB ←0
.254AVG ←.231
Current Season
EllyCategoryMookie
12HR ←6
40R ←14
37RBI ←16
10SB ←0
.280AVG ←.196
What Each Player's System Trusts
Elly De La Cruz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.362, +0.047 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.366 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Mookie Betts
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.168 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Elly De La Cruz: 12 HR / 53 R. Mookie Betts: 8 HR / 34 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).