Rest of Season Projection
EllyCategoryTrevor
12HR ←6
52R ←27
48RBI ←32
13SB ←7
.254AVG ←.208
Current Season
EllyCategoryTrevor
12HR ←3
40R ←16
37RBI ←19
10SB ←4
.280AVG ←.206
What Each Player's System Trusts
Elly De La Cruz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.362, +0.047 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.366 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Trevor Story
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.248 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Elly De La Cruz: 12 HR / 53 R. Trevor Story: 6 HR / 27 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).