Rest of Season Projection
EllyCategoryWilly
12HR12
52R ←37
48RBI ←30
13SB ←1
.254AVG ←.227
Current Season
EllyCategoryWilly
12HR ←8
40R ←28
37RBI ←23
10SB ←1
.280AVG ←.239
What Each Player's System Trusts
Elly De La Cruz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.362, +0.047 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.366 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Willy Adames
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.297 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 28% is stable and high — caps the floor
Elly De La Cruz: 12 HR / 53 R. Willy Adames: 13 HR / 37 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).