Rest of Season Projection
EllyCategoryXander
12HR ←7
52R ←35
48RBI ←36
13SB13
.254AVG ←.235
Current Season
EllyCategoryXander
12HR ←8
40R ←25
37RBI ←26
10SB ←9
.280AVG ←.243
What Each Player's System Trusts
Elly De La Cruz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.362, +0.047 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.366 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Xander Bogaerts
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.320)
Elly De La Cruz: 12 HR / 53 R. Xander Bogaerts: 7 HR / 36 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).