Rest of Season Projection
EuryCategoryMatt
108K ←66
4.67ERA →4.09
1.32WHIP →1.30
3–6W ←2–4
0SV0
Current Season
EuryCategoryMatt
72K ←22
4.60ERA ←8.49
1.26WHIP ←1.71
3W ←1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Eury Pérez
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.268 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.98 is 0.38 above the ERA — regression coming
Matt Waldron
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.79 sits 0.31 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.384 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Eury Pérez: 108 K / 4.67 ERA. Matt Waldron: 66 K / 4.09 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).