MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · July 31, 2026
Portrait of Ezequiel Tovar
Ezequiel Tovar
COL · SS
Change to
Francisco Lindor
NYM · SS
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Francisco Lindor.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — runs and average. Ezequiel Tovar’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Francisco Lindor wins 2 categories (R, AVG); Ezequiel Tovar wins 1 (RBI); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Ezequiel Tovar
87.3
Francisco Lindor
91.6
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Ezequiel Tovar
33.1%
Francisco Lindor
49.1%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Ezequiel Tovar
6.4%
Francisco Lindor
9.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Ezequiel Tovar
45.0%
Francisco Lindor
27.3%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Ezequiel Tovar
18.4%
Francisco Lindor
10.9%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Ezequiel Tovar
.270
Francisco Lindor
.354
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Ezequiel Tovar
.200.270
lg AVG .295
now .216
.202
Francisco Lindor
.200.270
lg AVG .295
now .226
.249

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Ezequiel Tovar
55.20
now 4
3
Francisco Lindor
55.20
now 2
3
Runshigher is better
Ezequiel Tovar
2021.20
now 17
11
Francisco Lindor
2021.20
now 14
18
RBIhigher is better
Ezequiel Tovar
2026
now 20
13
Francisco Lindor
2026
now 5
7
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Ezequiel Tovar
.8005.20
now 4
3
Francisco Lindor
.8005.20
now 2
3
If you already own them — trade angle
SellEzequiel Tovar — sell.conf 0.64
Buy LowFrancisco Lindor — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.67
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