MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 20, 2026
Portrait of Ezequiel Tovar
Ezequiel Tovar
COL · SS
Change to
Portrait of Joey Ortiz
Joey Ortiz
MIL · SS
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Joey Ortiz.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — runs, steals, and average. Ezequiel Tovar’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Joey Ortiz wins 3 categories (R, SB, AVG); Ezequiel Tovar wins 2 (HR, RBI).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Ezequiel Tovar
87.2
Joey Ortiz
87.7
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Ezequiel Tovar
32.6%
Joey Ortiz
33.9%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Ezequiel Tovar
6.7%
Joey Ortiz
3.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Ezequiel Tovar
45.3%
Joey Ortiz
30.2%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Ezequiel Tovar
18.3%
Joey Ortiz
8.3%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Ezequiel Tovar
.273
Joey Ortiz
.299
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Ezequiel Tovar
.200.240
lg AVG .295
now .216
.206
Joey Ortiz
.200.240
lg AVG .295
now .193
.230

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Ezequiel Tovar
55.20
now 4
4
Joey Ortiz
55.20
now 1
2
Runshigher is better
Ezequiel Tovar
2020.20
now 17
14
Joey Ortiz
2020.20
now 15
16
RBIhigher is better
Ezequiel Tovar
2023.20
now 20
16
Joey Ortiz
2023.20
now 13
14
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Ezequiel Tovar
1.805.20
now 4
3
Joey Ortiz
1.805.20
now 4
4
If you already own them — trade angle
SellEzequiel Tovar — sell.conf 0.63
SellJoey Ortiz — sell.conf 0.58
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