Rest of Season Projection
FreddieCategoryJake
15HR →16
44R →46
46RBI →58
3SB ←2
.276AVG ←.237
Current Season
FreddieCategoryJake
8HR →10
29R29
30RBI →37
2SB ←1
.266AVG ←.242
What Each Player's System Trusts
Freddie Freeman
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.376, +0.061 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Jake Burger
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.307)
Freddie Freeman: 15 HR / 44 R. Jake Burger: 16 HR / 46 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).