Rest of Season Projection
GavinCategoryJacob
126K →163
4.09ERA →2.19
1.20WHIP →0.98
8–17W ←6–13
0SV0
Current Season
GavinCategoryJacob
88K →108
3.07ERA →1.65
1.09WHIP →0.79
8W ←6
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Gavin Williams
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.09)
Jacob Misiorowski
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.243 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.19 is 0.54 above the ERA — regression coming
Gavin Williams: 126 K / 4.09 ERA. Jacob Misiorowski: 163 K / 2.19 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).