Rest of Season Projection
GermánCategoryJacob
64K →148
4.24ERA →2.25
1.32WHIP →1.01
5–11W5–12
0SV0
Current Season
GermánCategoryJacob
19K →108
5.76ERA →1.65
1.45WHIP →0.79
3W →6
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Germán Márquez
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.69)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Jacob Misiorowski
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.242 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.25 is 0.75 above the ERA — regression coming
Germán Márquez: 64 K / 4.24 ERA. Jacob Misiorowski: 150 K / 2.25 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).
