Rest of Season Projection
GerritCategoryJacob
100K →159
4.10ERA →2.19
1.30WHIP →0.98
4–9W →6–13
0SV0
Current Season
GerritCategoryJacob
12K →108
0.00ERA ←1.65
0.71WHIP ←0.79
1W →6
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Gerrit Cole
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.191 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.48 is 0.48 above the ERA — regression coming
Jacob Misiorowski
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.243 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.19 is 0.54 above the ERA — regression coming
Gerrit Cole: 100 K / 4.10 ERA. Jacob Misiorowski: 159 K / 2.19 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).