Rest of Season Projection
HobyCategoryMason
31K →69
3.76ERA →3.58
1.25WHIP →1.23
1–3W1–2
1–3SV →19–36
Current Season
HobyCategoryMason
12K →49
2.49ERA →0.72
1.03WHIP →0.84
1W1
1SV →17
What Each Player's System Trusts
Hoby Milner
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.217 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.91 is 2.58 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 12% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Mason Miller
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (1.10)
Hoby Milner: 31 K / 3.76 ERA. Mason Miller: 69 K / 3.58 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).