Rest of Season Projection
HobyCategorySean
28K →42
3.76ERA →3.65
1.25WHIP →1.24
1–2W ←0–0
1–3SV ←1–2
Current Season
HobyCategorySean
12K →31
2.49ERA ←2.62
1.03WHIP ←1.08
1W ←0
1SV1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Hoby Milner
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.214 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.02 is 2.74 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 13% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Sean Newcomb
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.34)
Hoby Milner: 28 K / 3.76 ERA. Sean Newcomb: 42 K / 3.65 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).