Rest of Season Projection
HoganCategoryMason
51K →69
3.68ERA →3.58
1.27WHIP →1.23
2–5W ←1–2
5–9SV →19–36
Current Season
HoganCategoryMason
31K →49
2.60ERA →0.72
1.59WHIP →0.84
2W ←1
4SV →17
What Each Player's System Trusts
Hogan Harris
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.274 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.48 is 0.91 above the ERA — regression coming
Mason Miller
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (1.10)
Hogan Harris: 51 K / 3.68 ERA. Mason Miller: 69 K / 3.58 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).